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demographics
This page highlights studies of who's online
and the value of online activity.
who's online?
Figures for users of the Web are problematical. One
estimate
suggests that the number will grow to 707 million in 2002.
The US Department of Commerce (DOC)
and national Telecommunications & Information Administration
(NTIA)
reports on Falling Through The Net provide a detailed
picture of who's online, analysing the 'telecommunications
and information technology gap in America'. There's a detailed
consideration of the 'digital divide' later
in this guide.
The State of the Net 2000 report
is a snapshot by the US Internet Council (USIC) of
access, ecommerce, traffic and other Internet statistics. While some of
the figures are suspect, the report is a useful compilation. USIC's 1999
report
is also online.
The Computer Industry Almanac claims
that the US has over 110 million users in 1999 (43% of the global figure
of 259 users), with Australia just ahead of Brazil at 6.83 million
users. It projects 765 million users (ie around 10% of the population)
by 2005. All very eye of newt and foot of toad .... such estimates
are necessarily problematical.
In Australia the National Office for
the Information Economy (NOIE) and the
Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS)
have released reports on who's online and
whether they'll be joined by other surfers in future.
The June 2000 NOIE-Yellow
Pages report
offers figures, somewhat contentious, about use of the web by small,
medium and large-scale enterprises. Much
of that
report
is inconsistent with the more credible
December 2000 report from the Australian Bureau of
Statistics (ABS)
regarding business use of IT, including use of email,
etailing and online presences.
The May 2000 figures
from the ABS claimed that 54% (3.8 million) of Australian homes have a
computer; 51% of regional homes have a machine, a 21% increase in three
months, and nationally a third of Australian homes "have Internet
access". 46% of all adults accessed the web in the preceding 12
months.
As noted in our guide to the Web, Paul Clemente's
The State of the
Net (New York, McGraw-Hill 98) almost by default has become a
standard source in the industry, despite controversy over alleged
appropriation of academic research.
where are the dollars?
Research into the economic size of the Web featured
at the 1999 US conference
on Understanding The Digital Economy: Data, Tools &
Research mentioned above. We recommend the papers by
Haltiwanger and Varian in particular. Our economy guide
discusses particular issues in more detail and concludes
with detailed statistical references.
Material at the Vanderbilt Uni eLab
site is also of value. At a global level the OECD's
1997 report
on Measuring Electronic Commerce remains of value.
Measuring the Internet Economy, the October 1999 report
by the University of Texas and Cisco, is decidedly upbeat
but worth examination for economic projections. It's available
at the Internet
Indicators site.
Lada Adamic & Bernardo Huberman in their May 1999 paper
The Nature of Markets in the World Wide Web - based
on an examination of 120,000 sites - argue that statistics
for visits to sites are characteristic of a winner-take-all
market.
Whether that will remain the case in future is unclear;
we believe that effective marketing online and offline will
offset disadvantages faced by many Australian sites who
aren't 'winning' the traffic.
and the languages
GlobalReach, an internet marketing company, has published
figures on the languages used by those online. Those figures
are of course disputed and are inconsistent with some of
the data featured on this page. They suggest that

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